Value vs Growth Investing
Howard Marks' 2021 memo "Something of Value" reframes the old value-versus-growth divide as a false dichotomy. Value investing should not mean "low multiple investing." It means estimating intrinsic value and buying below it. Growth is one component of intrinsic value.
Core Distinction
- Low valuation metrics can signal cheapness, but can also signal a value trap if future earnings are deteriorating.
- High growth can justify high valuation if long-term cash flows, competitive advantage, and reinvestment runway are real.
- No price too high remains the danger zone: even great companies can become poor investments if expectations become excessive.
Marks' conversations with Andrew Marks pushed him to update his older bargain-hunter instincts. The lesson is not that growth always wins; it is that value analysis must include future business quality, not just present statistical cheapness.
Practical Use
Ask:
- What cash flows can this business produce over time?
- How durable are its competitive advantages?
- How much of the value lies in distant future cash flows?
- What discount rate is appropriate?
- Does the price already assume perfection?
Sources
- the-complete-collection-howard-marks - "Something of Value."